I think people underestimate how earth shattering a conclusion that non-ionizing radiation causes cancer would be | California Warns People to Limit Exposure to Cellphones. http://google.com/newsstand/s/CBIwg-uPrzM
16 December 2017
8 November 2017
7 November 2017
7 November 2017
19 September 2017
8 September 2017
1 September 2017
A lot of confusion about what a “500-year event” means in relation to #Harvey , and since I evaluate #Risks , and am from #Dickinson , TX …
A 500-year event only means it has been assessed a probability of 0.2% of happening for that location in a year (1% for a 100-yr event) …
When you start stacking events (multiple years or multiple areas) then the probability can get much higher …
See this graph of cumulative probabilities of experiencing such an event with multiple independent* events (*probably a bad assumption) …
(again assuming independence) over a 30-year mortgage, a house would have a 5.8% probability of seeing a 500-yr event (26% of 100-yr event)
Over 50 regions with the same risk, there would be a 9.5% probability of one of them seeing a 500-yr event in a yr (39.4% for 100-yr event)
Over a 79 year lifetime, there is a 14.6% probability of seeing a 500-year event (54.8% of 100-yr event) [again assuming independence] …
*Independence* means that no event informs us on the probability of any other event (i.e. things are not changing)
So, independence assumes no climate change, no increase in flooding due to development, etc. (i.e. prob not true, but makes math easier)
28 August 2017
I’m here today because my great grandfather, at the age of ~8, survived the great storm of 1900 in Galveston, Texas.
As terrible as Harvey is, the Galveston Hurricane of 1900 was much, much worse: http://on.forbes.com/60118IzbU
28 August 2017
Here’s how much bacteria you spew on the cake while blowing out birthday candles. – Seriously, Science? http://bit.ly/2vwGwvl
3 August 2017
2 August 2017
Miles traveled and traffic deaths up in recent yrs | U.S. traffic death increase caused by speeding, says new study https://curbed.com/2017/7/28/16051780/us-traffic-death-speeding-statistics-speeding
“Unlike other factors like alcohol or unbelted riders, speeding has few neg. social consequences associated with it”
“There is not strong evidence that the 85th percentile speed limit standard equates with the lowest crash rate”
“Though cities try to make streets safer, changes are difficult to implement as drivers complain that solutions extend commute times”
31 July 2017
Prob just the beginning of a new chapter of knowledge | Study: CTE Found In Nearly All Donated NFL Player Brains https://n.pr/2uVnpdg
Ethically do NFL players believe they understand and are fairly compensated for this risk to their health and safety?
What other professions and activities may put people at risk of this kind of damage to the brain?
25 July 2017